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Apple Surpasses Nvidia—Who Will Reign Supreme by Month-End?

Apple is likely to maintain its position as the most valuable company as July ends, with a market cap of $5 trillion, compared to Nvidia's $4.8 trillion.

Mercation Admin
July 28, 2026 1 min read
Apple Surpasses Nvidia—Who Will Reign Supreme by Month-End?

Apple Retains Market Dominance

As July draws to a close, Apple appears poised to maintain its status as the world's most valuable company, boasting a market capitalization of approximately $5.0 trillion. According to Polymarket, the probability of Apple finishing the month at the top stands at about 79%, while Nvidia's chances have decreased to roughly 22%.

At the end of trading on Tuesday, Apple led Nvidia by around $227 billion, with Nvidia's market cap at approximately $4.768 trillion. With only three trading sessions left in the month, this lead, although substantial, remains vulnerable to fluctuations in the market.

Upcoming Earnings Report

Investors are eagerly awaiting Apple's quarterly earnings report, scheduled for release on Thursday evening, which could significantly influence the market dynamics before the end of July. The anticipation is palpable, as this report could either solidify Apple’s lead or alter the competitive landscape.

Nvidia's Challenges and AI Investments

Nvidia, while still strong with a 75% increase in data center revenue to $62.3 billion last quarter, faces skepticism regarding its ambitious spending plans. Reports suggest Nvidia might provide a substantial financial safety net for an OpenAI data center project, raising concerns about the sustainability of investments in AI infrastructure among major companies.

In contrast, Apple's approach to AI has evolved, with the recent introduction of an enhanced Siri featuring advanced conversational capabilities. This shift indicates a strategic pivot towards more cost-effective AI solutions, distancing itself from previous criticisms of lagging in the AI sector.

The Polymarket contracts will finalize based on the market capitalization standings at the close of trading on July 31, making the next few days critical for both tech giants.