Outlook & Policy
Central-bank actions, inflation, employment, growth. The macro lens for everything below.
US Core CPI
+2.79%
YoY · Sep 1
US Core PCE
3.01%
YoY · Fed target · Aug 1
Fed Funds Rate
4.00%
Target · Upper · Oct 27
10Y Treasury
5.00%
Yield · Oct 26
US GDP Growth
+2.20%
QoQ · Annualized · Apr 1
US Unemployment
4.20%
Civilian rate · Sep 1
Industrial Production
+2.25%
YoY · Sep 1
US M2 Supply
+5.71%
YoY · Sep 1
- Macro
Federal Reserve Likely to Hold Rates Steady Amid Inflation Concerns
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady today, with market predictions indicating a 90% probability of no change amid inflation concerns.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
IMF Report Highlights Demand for Tokenized Stocks Amidst Volatility
The IMF's report reveals a surge in tokenized stock trading outside regular U.S. market hours, highlighting volatility and regulatory needs.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
IMF Issues Third Warning This Year on Tokenization Risks
The IMF has issued its third warning this year about tokenization risks, highlighting legal and regulatory challenges as markets expand.
Mercation Admin2 min - Macro
Bond Market Volatility Rises, Yet Bitcoin and Stocks Remain Unfazed
Bitcoin and U.S. stocks remain stable despite rising bond market volatility, raising questions about future market conditions.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
Ray Dalio Predicts U.S. Debt Crisis Within Three Years
Ray Dalio warns of a potential U.S. debt crisis within three years, citing rising deficits and geopolitical tensions affecting foreign investment.
Mercation Admin2 min - Macro
U.S. Dollar Reaches 18-Month Peak as Bitcoin Stabilizes Around $86,000
The U.S. dollar reaches an 18-month high, while Bitcoin stabilizes around $86,000 amid rising bond yields and European political uncertainty.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
Bank of Japan Warns of Stock Market Correction Due to AI Boom
The Bank of Japan's Deputy Governor warns of potential stock market corrections due to AI investment risks, highlighting complex economic impacts.
Mercation Admin2 min - Macro
Cathie Wood Urges Investors to Monitor AI Spending Habits
Cathie Wood emphasizes the significance of AI agents in investment strategies as they transition to making purchases, urging investors to monitor their spending habits.
Mercation Admin2 min - Macro
U.S. Job Growth Stalls with 29,000 New Positions in September
The U.S. job market added only 29,000 jobs in September, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%, indicating potential economic weakness.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
Analysts Anticipate 10-Year Treasury Yield to Reach 6%; Bitcoin Remains Steady
Analysts predict the 10-year Treasury yield could hit 6%, potentially impacting bitcoin, with mixed implications depending on the reasons for the rise.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
Apollo's Torsten Slok Warns AI Agents May Spark Bank Runs
Apollo's Torsten Slok warns that AI financial assistants may lead to bank runs by shifting funds to higher-yield accounts, threatening financial stability.
Mercation Admin1 min - Macro
Tokenization Outpaces Regulatory Developments in the U.S.
Andrew Cuomo discusses the SEC's new framework for tokenized U.S. stocks and the implications for regulatory clarity in financial technology.
Mercation Admin2 min