The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a surprising decline of 23,000 non-farm jobs in July, significantly missing the projected gain of 80,000 jobs estimated by economists. This disappointing figure was compounded by revisions for May and June, which collectively adjusted downward by 103,000 jobs. As a result of these developments, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September fell to about 44%, a drop from 55% in the previous session, according to CME FedWatch data. In response to the jobs report, the S&P 500 index saw a 0.62% increase, reaching a new record high. This surge was fueled by strong corporate earnings, with 85.1% of the 436 companies in the index that reported results exceeding analyst expectations, a significant rise compared to the historical average of 68% since 1994.
MacroJobsInflationInterest RatesFederal Reserve
Weak Jobs Report Lowers Fed Rate Hike Expectations
The U.S. job market saw a decline in July, leading to lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Mercation Admin
August 9, 2026 1 min read



