The prediction platform Polymarket has entered into an exclusive agreement with Dow Jones. Data from the platform will be featured in online publications and print editions of The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and Investor’s Business Daily.
We're honored to be named the Exclusive Prediction Market Partner of the Wall Street Journal & the Dow Jones.
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) January 7, 2026
The World's Largest Prediction Market™ 🤝 the most trusted voices in finance pic.twitter.com/S6o7qkCUS6
The two parties will launch new features, including a corporate earnings calendar that will display expected financial results of public companies based on user bets.
Previously, Polymarket became the exclusive partner of Yahoo Finance, while Google Finance began displaying data from the platform in search results. Its main competitor, Kalshi, partners with CNN.
In 2025, Polymarket's valuation reached $9 billion following investment rounds, while Kalshi's market cap stands at around $11 billion.
Additionally, Polymarket announced the launch of real estate prediction markets, which will be implemented through integration with the Parcl protocol.
Under Fire
Polymarket found itself in the spotlight for refusing to classify U.S. actions in Venezuela as an "invasion." The amount of funds in the contentious contract exceeded $10.5 million.
Representatives of the platform explained their decision: the special forces raid and the capture of Nicolás Maduro do not meet the criteria for an invasion. According to the rules, a military offensive aimed at controlling a country's territory is required for a payout. The capture or arrest of a state leader does not fall under this definition.
The situation was complicated by conflicting results in adjacent markets. The contract for "U.S. Forces Presence in Venezuela" closed with a "Yes" outcome just hours after the operation. In this context, the quotes for "invasion" surged sharply but plummeted below 5 cents after the arbitrators' clarifications.
Users expressed their dissatisfaction in comments. One participant called the decision "arbitrary," highlighting the absurdity of classifying a military operation and the kidnapping of a head of state as not an invasion.
The situation was further inflamed by the success of an anonymous trader who made over $400,000 from events in Venezuela. Suspicion arose because the account was created on December 26—just days before the special operation.
The user made a series of accurate bets:
- Maduro's ousting: wagered $32,000 at a 7% probability and received a full payout;
- U.S. troops: bought positions at 12 cents and closed them at 100;
- invasion: purchased "shares" of the contract at 6 cents and managed to sell them at 18 during the peak of confusion, securing a 200% profit before the price crash.
The incident attracted the attention of authorities. Congressman Ritchie Torres proposed a bill prohibiting insiders from trading on prediction markets.
Recall that in October, the Polymarket team confirmed plans to launch the POLY token and conduct an airdrop.