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Musk Reveals Optimus Market Launch Timeline and AGI Possibility by 2026

Elon Musk predicts AI could surpass human intelligence by 2026 and plans to launch Tesla’s humanoid robots by 2027.

Aisha Patel
January 23, 2026 2 min read
Musk Reveals Optimus Market Launch Timeline and AGI Possibility by 2026

Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, announced that artificial intelligence could match or exceed human capabilities as early as 2026 during a discussion with BlackRock's Larry Fink at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Musk indicated that by the end of this year, AI could potentially outperform human intelligence and anticipates that fully developed neural networks will surpass human intellect by 2030 or 2031.

"I think by the end of this year, we could have AI that is smarter than any human," Musk stated.

His remarks echo a sentiment among tech leaders that artificial general intelligence (AGI) might arrive sooner than previously expected, prompting discussions about its implications for the workforce.

Musk believes that the significant economic impact of AI will not stem from software alone but from its integration into humanoid robots designed for industrial tasks. He predicts that widespread availability of affordable AI and robotics will catalyze remarkable economic growth.

"If you have ubiquitous AI that is free or close to it, and robotics, you will see explosive growth in the global economy," Musk explained.

He envisions a future where robots could outnumber humans, stating that their development would ultimately fulfill all human needs.

"My optimistic future prediction is that we will create so many robots and AI that they will meet all human needs," Musk said.

Optimus Robot Plans

Musk confirmed that Tesla has already deployed an initial version of its humanoid robot, Optimus, in its factories, with further advancements expected by late 2026. The company plans to begin selling these robots to the public by 2027.

He also highlighted the importance of solar energy in facilitating the robotics industry, emphasizing that harnessing solar power is crucial for the rapid development of AI technologies.

"The sun is undoubtedly the largest source of energy... It provides up to 100% of all energy," Musk asserted.

Musk advocated for a cautious approach in the development of AI and robotics to avoid dire scenarios portrayed in films like "Terminator."

"We don’t want to end up in a James Cameron movie like ‘Terminator,’" he remarked.

Robotaxi Developments

In addition to humanoid robots, Tesla is advancing its robotaxi initiative, which has begun offering rides in Austin. The company initiated driverless taxi services in December 2025, although initially without passengers. Test rides commenced in June, showcasing the vehicles' autonomous capabilities.

Ashok Elluswamy, head of Tesla's AI division, indicated that the number of robotaxis operating autonomously is expected to grow steadily.

China's Competitive Edge

While Tesla aims to launch its robots by 2027, Chinese companies like Unitree Robotics are already producing thousands of humanoid robots annually. In 2025, Unitree shipped more than 5,500 units and is positioned as a leader in China's humanoid robot market.

A separate report revealed that China accounted for over 80% of the global humanoid robot market share in 2025, with total shipments reaching 16,000 units, predominantly for applications in logistics and research. Meanwhile, LG Electronics unveiled an innovative AI home assistant robot in January 2026, showcasing the rapid advancements in the field.