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Bitcoin Near $63,000: Onchain Data Signals Potential Challenges for Bulls

Bitcoin hovers near $63,000 as onchain data reveals declining demand, posing challenges for bullish momentum.

Mercation Admin
June 12, 2026 2 min read
Bitcoin Near $63,000: Onchain Data Signals Potential Challenges for Bulls

Bitcoin is currently trading near $63,000, but recent onchain analytics suggest that this price point is only slightly above its realized price, indicating potential challenges for bullish investors.

Onchain Data Indicates Declining Demand for Bitcoin

As of June 12, 2026, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $62,895.02, having recently dipped to around $59,000. Onchain analysis from CryptoQuant reveals that the price is only 9% above its realized price of approximately $53,600. This proximity implies that most holders are barely profiting, a situation often seen at the lows of bear markets.

A significant concern is the waning demand for Bitcoin. Last week, total demand dropped by 652,000 BTC, marking the largest decline since January 2022. Additionally, demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is decreasing at the fastest rate since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin funds in January 2024, suggesting a shift in institutional interest towards selling rather than buying.

In the past month, sellers have incurred losses of 187,000 BTC, although this figure is substantially lower than the peaks of 400,000 BTC in February and 1.2 million BTC at the lows of November 2022. This scenario indicates that the market is leaning towards a value zone rather than a definitive recovery. A turnaround would require improved ETF flows, a resurgence of substantial buyers, and the absorption of losses by remaining sellers.

Market Overview and Token Activity

  • The VELVET token surged over 1,400% in a week, reaching $1.76, propelled by speculation around pre-IPO excitement for SpaceX and AI firms, despite minimal actual usage of its protocol.
  • VELVET's market cap has increased to approximately $745 million, rising from No. 128 to No. 82 in market value, though its current deposits stand at only $840,000.
  • XRP's sentiment has plummeted, with its weighted sentiment score dropping to the lowest level since October 2025, attributed to price weakness and a lack of catalysts following Ripple's legal developments.

Derivatives Market Trends

  • Crypto futures trading volume has decreased by 9% to $180.9 billion, with open interest steady at around $105 billion, indicating a market pause rather than panic.
  • Open interest in DOGE futures has risen by 5.7%, reflecting renewed interest in the memecoin.
  • Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index has fallen to 43.8%, suggesting that traders are pricing out uncertainty while anticipating a price increase.
  • In the options market, long call butterflies indicate expectations of a bounce to $75,000, followed by consolidation through late July.