MarketsCrypto Stabilizes Amid Middle East Strife and U.S. Inflation Data

Bitcoin remained steady at a three-week peak as escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran tempered gains from Tuesday's lower-than-expected inflation report.

By Oliver Knight, Saksham Diwan|Edited by Sheldon Reback Jul 15, 2026, 11:05 a.m. 2 min readMake preferred on ShareShare this articleCopy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmailMake preferred on Bitcoin price (CoinDesk Data)SummaryShow
  • Bitcoin held near a three-week high while ether stabilized around its peak since June 3, as U.S.-Iran tensions limited the impact of Tuesday's softer-than-expected inflation data.
  • HYPE surged 4% and is aiming for a new record above $78, buoyed by a trend of higher highs and lows since May. In contrast, LIT faced a slowdown as profit-taking occurred near its all-time high of $2.76.
  • The Altcoin Season indicator from CoinMarketCap fell to 46/100, indicating that strength is more concentrated in major cryptocurrencies rather than the wider market.

Bitcoin BTC$64,679.55 and ether (ETH) consolidated during the Asian and European trading hours after experiencing a rally on Tuesday due to a weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation report.

Despite being over 3% higher compared to 24 hours prior, Bitcoin dropped 0.6% since midnight UTC as rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran regarding tanker movements in the Strait of Hormuz intensified. The leading cryptocurrency previously reached a three-week high of $65,200.

Ether followed a similar path, remaining 5% higher over the past day despite a 0.8% decline since midnight. It reached $1,895, marking its highest point since June 3, on Tuesday.

U.S. stock markets also saw gains during this time, with Nasdaq 100 futures and S&P 500 futures increasing by 0.53% and 0.22%, respectively.

The altcoin sector displayed some strength; PUMP increased by 8.5% since midnight after a team and investor unlock was quickly absorbed by buyers, indicating strong demand.

Derivatives Positioning

  • BTC derivatives positioning has mostly remained stable. Open interest increased to $17.3 billion, but the change is not significant. The three-month annualized basis stayed at 3.8%, and funding rates broadly ranged between 0%-8% across various platforms, suggesting continued market consolidation.
  • Options positioning turned more bullish, as the 24-hour call/put ratio shifted to 66/34 from a previous 58/42. The one-week delta skew remained stable at around 15%. The at-the-money term structure is in contango, with the front end around 32%-33% and the long end approximately 42.5% extending to mid-2027, indicating a calm volatility environment with a renewed bias toward upside positioning.
  • According to Coinglass, there were $357 million in liquidations over a 24-hour period, with a 19-81 split between longs and shorts. ETH ($132 million) and BTC ($118 million) led in notional liquidations.
  • The Binance liquidation heatmap shows $63,500 as a critical liquidation level to watch in case of a price drop.

Token Developments

  • CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season indicator declined to 46/100 on Wednesday, likely reflecting the dominance of larger cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • The indicator was also negatively impacted by WLFI$0.05686, which dropped roughly 1% since midnight UTC, despite positive trends in the broader market.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) demonstrated strength, gaining 4% since midnight as it aims to extend its rally from May, characterized by a series of increasing highs and lows. The next target is a record high above $78.00.
  • HYPE’s competitor, LIT, showed minimal movement, gaining only 0.5% as it faced profit-taking and supply distribution after nearing its record high of $2.76.
  • Zcash (ZEC) also saw a substantial increase, rising over 10% in the last 24 hours before stabilizing around $557.
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