MarketsOutflows from Bitcoin ETFs and Private Credit Funds Indicate Growing Market Risks

In the second quarter, redemption requests in the $2 trillion private credit sector soared to $15.6 billion, overshadowing Bitcoin ETF withdrawals.

By Omkar Godbole|Edited by Stephen AlpherUpdated Jul 9, 2026, 6:22 p.m. Published Jul 9, 2026, 6:13 p.m. 2 min readMake preferred on ShareShare this articleCopy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmailMake preferred on Redemptions surge in private credit funds (aditya1702/Unsplash)SummaryShow
  • Redemption requests in the $2 trillion private credit market surged to $15.6 billion in Q2, exceeding the typical 5% quarterly limit at many business development companies (BDCs), leaving investors partially compensated.
  • Withdrawals from U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs approached $5 billion in Q2, contributing to a nearly 14% decline in Bitcoin's price and marking its third consecutive quarterly loss.
  • The simultaneous demand for liquidity in both Bitcoin ETFs and private credit, alongside a diminished U.S. strategic petroleum reserve, raises concerns about the erosion of financial and physical safety nets across markets.

The second quarter proved to be particularly challenging for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which experienced unprecedented outflows of almost $5 billion, but private credit faced even harsher conditions.

U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw approximately $4 billion withdrawn, primarily driven by capital reallocations towards AI ventures and other notable opportunities, such as SpaceX’s highly anticipated IPO, according to data from SoSoValue. This resulted in Bitcoin's BTC$63,168.47 price dropping around 14% during the quarter, falling below $60,000 and marking its third consecutive quarterly decline.

In contrast, the liquidity crunch in the $2 trillion private credit market was even more severe, with investors seeking $15.6 billion in redemptions in Q2, only to receive partial payouts. Data from Fitch indicated that redemption requests surpassed the standard 5% quarterly cap at 10 of the 16 business development companies, resulting in many investors receiving only a fraction of their funds and having to wait for future quarters for the rest.

The average redemption request increased to 10.3% of shares from 9.7% in Q1, although it varied widely (from 1.3% to 38.1% at Blue Owl’s OTIC), Fitch reported. Many of these requests were follow-ups from investors who had only received partial payouts the previous quarter. Additionally, new inflows dropped by approximately 56% on average, leading most funds to experience net outflows of about 3% relative to the last quarter’s net asset value.

Fitch anticipates that redemptions will continue to rise in the coming months.

"Due to BDCs limiting redemptions to 5% quarterly, unfulfilled requests are expected to result in sustained high redemption levels for numerous firms in the upcoming quarters," the ratings agency warned.

Similar Trends, Different Structures

Bitcoin ETFs are marketable, exchange-traded products, where outflows directly influence the BTC spot price. In contrast, private credit BDCs represent illiquid, long-term lending structures that incorporate quarterly limitations on withdrawals.

Nonetheless, the concurrent rush for exits from both asset classes indicates a broader apprehension regarding liquidity and risk tolerance.

In the midst of this, energy markets are signaling risk aversion, with the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve at its lowest level since 1983. If energy markets remain unsettled, the government now possesses significantly less capacity to inject oil into the market to stabilize prices.

All these factors contribute to a more challenging landscape for advocates of riskier assets.

"With no monetary safety net in sight, the importance of physical buffers increases. The SPR has declined to its lowest since 1983, Strategy sold BTC for the first time to fund dividends, and private credit redemption requests exceeded 5% caps across eight semi-liquid funds," stated QCP Capital based in Singapore.

"Different areas are showing the same trend: the buffers are becoming increasingly thin," QCP added.

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