Bitcoin experienced a decline of approximately 2% as South Korea's Kospi index saw a significant drop of 11%, marking one of its steepest declines in years. This downturn, coupled with the U.S. Senate's decision to postpone the Crypto Clarity Act, has left the market bracing for an important Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday.
During the overnight session in the U.S., Bitcoin BTC$63,448.27 lost 0.53%. The market is now facing two main pressures: a sharp decline in South Korean chip stocks that heavily impacted the Kospi and the shelving of the Crypto Clarity Act by the Senate.
The Kospi's drop sent ripples through global risk assets, adversely affecting AI and layer-1 tokens, with some such as FET, NEAR, and HYPE seeing losses of up to 10% in just 24 hours.
The Senate's decision to delay the Crypto Clarity Act, which was postponed to prioritize a bill on sanctions against Russia and federal nominations, has created uncertainty about its future, especially with only two weeks remaining before the August 8 recess.
Ether (ETH) also fell 0.56% to $1,880, having struggled to break through the crucial $2,000 level earlier in the week. The upcoming interest-rate decision by the Federal Reserve and the limited time left for Senate deliberations are significant factors weighing on the market this week.
In traditional markets, there was a general downturn, with Nasdaq 100 index futures down 0.70%, gold dropping 0.93%, and silver decreasing by 1.50%.
Derivatives Market Insights
- Bearish Shift in Taker Volume: The long/short volume in futures has turned bearish, with shorts now accounting for 51.5%, a stark contrast to the recent bullish sentiment.
- Increase in XRP Open Interest: XRP’s futures open interest rose to 2.35 billion tokens, reflecting a nearly 6% increase from the previous day, while BTC, ETH, and SOL futures remained stable.
- Open Interest Decline in Other Tokens: Other tokens like SHIB, AVAX, LINK, and DOGE have seen their futures open interest decline, indicating capital outflows.
- Cumulative Volume Delta Turns Negative: The cumulative volume delta for the top 25 coins has turned negative, suggesting that bears are dominating the market through aggressive short-selling.
- Funding Rates Adjust: Funding rates for BTC are around 0%, indicating balanced positions, while ETH, SOL, XRP, and TRX are showing negative rates, indicating a shift towards bearish sentiment.
- Calm Volatility: Despite key events such as the Fed meeting and the core U.S. PCE inflation data approaching, the implied volatility for BTC and ETH remains low, suggesting a calm market environment.
- Options Market Shows Put Bias: In the options market on Deribit, there has been a slight increase in put-call skews for BTC and ETH, reflecting the recent declines in spot prices.
Token Performance Highlights
- Lighter (LIT) stands out as a gainer, climbing 3.97% to $2.21 as it defends the $2.10 support level.
- MORPHO$1.9759 and ethena (ENA) are also performing well, with gains of 1.54% and 1.46%, respectively.
- FET led the losses, dropping 9.48%, while NEAR, HYPE, and WLD saw declines of 8%-9%, with AI and layer-1 tokens particularly affected.
- PUMP$0.001995 fell 3.07% after a strong performance earlier in the week, as speculators take profits.
- CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” indicator currently sits at 53/100, reflecting a slight decline from Monday but still higher than much of July.
