Bitcoin appears poised to receive a significant bullish signal for the first time in more than a year, as key price averages approach a major alignment.

Major Price Averages Indicate Bullish Configuration

By Omkar Godbole Oct 5, 2026, 2:57 a.m. EDT

  • The 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages for Bitcoin are nearing their first complete bullish alignment since 2025, reinforcing the notion that the cryptocurrency's recovery over the past three months is sustainable.
  • In the third quarter, Bitcoin surged over 40%, reaching $87,000, although its recent momentum has stalled around $85,000 as the U.S. dollar gained strength.
  • Previous similar alignments have often preceded significant rallies, making it crucial for Bitcoin to maintain its position above the 50-day average.

Currently, Bitcoin’s price stands at BTC$86,199.69, showing a decline today, yet the broader trend suggests otherwise.

The simple moving averages for Bitcoin are just one crossover away from achieving a full bullish configuration, where all short-, medium-, and long-term trends point upward. This would mark the first such alignment since 2025.

This bullish alignment occurs when the 50-day average exceeds the 100-day average, and the 100-day average surpasses the 200-day average. As of now, the 50-day average is at $79,495, significantly above the other two. The 100-day average is currently at $79,493 and is on track to surpass the 200-day average at $79,539. Once this occurs, all three averages will stack in a way that reflects strong bullish momentum across all timeframes.

“That crossover would restore the order of 50-day above 100-day above 200-day for the first time since the previous alignment formed on June 24, 2025,” stated Vikram Subburaj, CEO of the FIU-registered Giottus exchange in India.

Traders often rely on moving averages to gauge trend directions. When shorter-term averages are above longer-term ones, it indicates that recent prices are outperforming older ones, signaling upward momentum.

This impending signal strongly suggests that Bitcoin's recovery over the past three months is legitimate. The token's price has surged by more than 40% to $87,000 during the third quarter, though it has recently stalled around $85,000 amid a rising U.S. Dollar Index.

“To state a fact, the latest signal confirms the recovery has endured,” Subburaj noted.

Historically, previous alignments have often heralded significant rallies. For instance, one alignment occurred on October 27, 2020, when Bitcoin was trading around $13,600, and it lasted until May 2021, during which Bitcoin reached a then-record high exceeding $64,000. Another occurred in early November 2023 and remained in place until May 2024, during which Bitcoin's value more than doubled from approximately $35,000 to $73,000.

However, not all alignments have been rewarding. The bullish alignment formed in June 2025 lasted only 97 days, with Bitcoin's price rising modestly from about $106,000 to $112,000, while another formation in June 2024 lasted just 20 days, leading to a 10% decline in Bitcoin's value.

“The crossover strengthens the trend case, but it does not guarantee its continuation,” Subburaj cautioned. “The asset’s price behavior afterwards will determine whether it becomes a sustained bull-market structure or another short-lived alignment.”

He emphasized that the critical test now is whether Bitcoin can maintain its spot price above the 50-day average.

“The more consequential test is whether Bitcoin can hold the 50-day average during a correction,” he concluded.